Hi everyone,
An essential part of being able say ‘I told you so’ is in fact having told you so. Here goes.
In April 2023, I wrote an article titled AI: Guaranteed to disrupt our economies. In this piece I also announced I was going to make a fool of myself by making some AI predictions. I have singularly failed to do so. In retrospect this was all spot on, except for perhaps missing the sheer magnitude of the madness that was about to ensue.
We’ve since had 30 further months to think about AI and to observe what it can and can’t do. Meanwhile, wise people (and Sam Altman) are starting to talk about AI possibly being a bubble that is about to burst (here, here and here).
When this happens, lots of people will be ready with reviews of how AI apparently sucked all along, or why we suck. I’d like to get my word in first, in this AI-collapse pre-mortem.
Read on in the piece The AI-collapse pre-mortem, in which I expound a bit on where we are, including a pigeon joke, and simultaneously express admiration for what AI can do (which has led to a Nobel prize already), and heap scorn on the utility of LLMs, which can not support trillion dollar revenues anytime soon.
Enjoy! And do let me know your thoughts, if I’m wrong, I’d love to hear about it.
Bert